August 12, 2025 7:55am

But it’s far less fun when the sector act like it’s their blueprint. Don't chase the cell and gene therapy sector, especially with the Nasdaq stretched and econs acting as impediments and barriers of entry

 

BREAKING: The consumer price index rose 2.7% on an annualized basis in July, after an estimate had called for a 2.8% rise. So-called core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, increased by 3.1% year on year — slightly more than the expected 3%.

Earnings: Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM)

The thing about portfolio management or trading stocks is everyone has an opinion. Right now, there are just so many divergences i.e., econs, algos, tariffs, political boxing, the Fed, rate policy futures, etc., etc. in the market that’s as stark as man versus machine.

Never leave an investor uninformed … I say what others won’t, so you can do what others can’t!

 

Remember that overnight and pre-open actions’ futures and markets doesn’t necessarily translate into actual trading in today’s market session.

Investors will get the CPI release today and 2 more pulse checks on the state of the economy later this week, with the release of the Producer Price Index on Thursday and retail sales data on Friday.

My interpretation of the morning’s numbers is written to be informative; it’s built on what happened to make “it” happen today!

 

Monday’s night’s … RegMed Investors (RMi) Closing Bell: Sector share price bleeds red … https://www.regmedinvestors.com/articles/14057

RegMed Investors (RMi) Research Note: Harvard Apparatus GT (OTCQB): Navigating the next re-calibration, yet another "Exempt Offering of Securities" … https://www.regmedinvestors.com/articles/13812

 

Tuesday: The pre-open Dow futures are UP +0.56% or (+249 points), the S&P futures are UP +0.14% or (+9 points) and the Nasdaq futures are UP +0.47% or (+110 point)

  • Stock futures are “popped” after econ data on Tuesday, 8/12 
  • European markets opened positive and were flipping mixed,
  • Asia-Pacific markets mostly rose

 

Henry’omics: We need to more than consider the economic environment to comprehend the micro re “our” universe of cell and gene therapy companies

  • Monday: The Dow closed DOWN -200.52 points or -0.45%, the S&P closed DOWN -16 points or -0.25% while the Nasdaq closed DOWN -64.62 points or -0.30%
  • Friday: The Dow closed UP +206.97 points or +0.47%, the S&P closed UP +49.45 points or +0.78% while the Nasdaq closed UP +207.32 points or +0.98%
  • Thursday: The Dow closed DOWN -224.48 points or -0.51%, the S&P closed DOWN -5.06 points or -0.08% while the Nasdaq closed UP +73.27 points or +0.35%
  • Wednesday: The Dow closed UP +81.38 points or +0.18%, the S&P closed UP +45.87 points or +0.73% while the Nasdaq closed UP +252.87 points or +1.21%
  • Last Tuesday: The Dow closed DOWN -61.90 points or -0.14%, the S&P closed DOWN -30.77 points or -0.49% while the Nasdaq closed DOWN -137.03 points or -0.65%
  • Last week, the S&P 500 has gained 2.5%, the Nasdaq has added +3.9% and the Dow has advanced 1.4%.
  • The previous week, the Dow tumbled -2.9%, the S&P 500 dropped -2.4% and the Nasdaq lost -2.2%

Economic Data Docket: July's Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show prices rose at a faster clip annually compared to June.

  • Headline CPI is expected to have increased 2.8% year over year in July, up from a 2.7% rise in June. On a monthly basis, prices are forecast to increase 0.2%, a slight slowdown from June’s 0.3% gain, driven by lower gasoline prices and expectations of moderately softer food inflation. <Bloomberg>

 

Q3 – August - 6 negative and 1 positive closes

•             July – 1 market holiday, 13 positive and 9 negative closes

 

Companies in my headlights – It’s your decision; I provide ideas and context

I post about “indication intelligence” looking toward investment conferences … to assist investors with insight into sector vulnerabilities and strengths.  A dictionary definition of “indicate” refers to something less than a certainty; an indication could be a signal of being oversold or overbought, a recommendation, or grounds for inferring or a basis for believing.

  • I’ll pass; …. an escape from this week’s econs and upcoming more earnings releases, and the usual ups, downs and just plain uncertainty

Although:

After too many downs, there is soon to be an ascension

 

The BOTTOM LINE: Stock futures wavered around the flatline on Tuesday bracing for July's inflation report and President Trump revealed his pick to head the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Tuesday's consumer inflation report will either cast more doubt or offer clarity for investors, who are currently anticipating the Fed will lower borrowing costs by about 60 basis points by December, according to data compiled by LSEG.

August: understand the “flow” …

  • 8/11 – Monday closed negative with 10 positive, 25 negative and 0 flat
  • 8/8 – Friday closed negative with 11 positive, 23 negative and 1 flat
  • 8/7 – Thursday closed negative with 9 positive, 24 negative and 2 flats
  • 8/6 – Wednesday closed negative with 11 positive, 22 negative and 2 flats
  • 8/5 – Tuesday closed negative with 15 positive, 19 negative and 1 flat
  • 8/4 – Monday closed positive with 27 positive, 8 negative and 0 flats
  • 8/1 – Friday closed negative with 9 positive, 20 negative and 6 flats

Earnings are still the highlight of the week: Meeting earnings expectation and/or missing consensus will deem share pricing outcomes.

  • Earnings:  4 net incomes and 19 net losses of 23 releases to date
  • Upcoming: 8/14, Thursday = Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics (BCLI)

 

“I also hate to be so negative or contrarian but, this is a NO spin zone and truth is its product; I can always be WRONG but, I am mostly EARLY!”

 

Reiterating, “There are always some big ifs, especially given some of the headlines that could emanate after a past few months of news flatulence.

  • As always, I brace myself for earnings associated with share pricing volatility, some economics and tariff developments and their effects?

Welcome to my world of defining the “grey’ in our universe!

  • I am more frequently right than consequentially wrong; if I wanted to be liked, I wouldn’t have been an analyst/journalist.

 

Opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change, and not intended to be a forecast of future events, a guarantee of future results, nor investment advice. All investments are subject to risks. Investors should consider investment objectives.

Whether information or intelligence is good, bad or somewhere in between; I put into context what is relevant and useful for investors.  All investments are subject to risks. Investors should consider investment objectives.  Regulation Analyst Certification (Reg AC): The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this report certifies the following under Reg AC: I hereby certify that all views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company or companies and it’s or their securities.

 I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed.